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  • My boneheaded draft move

    Matt 4:34 pm on 9/02/2010 | 7 Permalink Reply
    Tags:

    Double FacepalmI hate how much Brandon’s going to enjoy this post, but there’s a good lesson to be learned here so I’m obligated to write it.

    Our esteemed League of Champions held its draft on Tuesday, and overall I’m pretty satisfied with how my team came out. However, what I’ll likely remember most about this draft was the mistake I made in round 5. I had the 10th pick overall and drafted RB-RB-WR-WR to start. QBs were flying off the board, and by the time my pick came around in the 5th round, only one guy was left on my list of third-tier QBs – Joe Flacco. I couldn’t stand the thought of counting on the likes of Carson Palmer or Brett Favre this season, so I was sweating it as the rest of the league made their 5th-round picks. To my relief, Flacco did fall to me and I scooped him up without a second thought.

    Two seconds later, Brandon typed: “Stupid pick!” I was halfway through typing an impassioned defense of my high regard for Flacco this year when he elaborated, “You could have had him next round. 11 and 12 already picked QBs.”

    D’oh. He was right – had I taken the time to check, I would have noticed that the teams with the 11th and 12th picks already had drafted their quarterbacks and weren’t likely to take a QB2 in the fifth round – so I could have taken a third running back or wide receiver instead and grabbed Flacco in the sixth round five picks later. Percy Harvin was available and I almost definitely would have picked him up had I thought to do so.

    Instead, here’s how the picks went:

    ROUND 5

    10. Joe Flacco 11. Arian Foster 12. Michael Bush

    ROUND 6

    12. Percy Harvin 11. Justin Forsett 10. Brent Celek

    Ugh. I made the best of a bad situation by taking one of the highest-ceiling tight ends in the league, but that’s not to say I wouldn’t rather have Harvin or Foster.

    Moral of the story: Don’t get tunnel vision. Pay attention to the teams around you and who they’re likely to pick so that you don’t end up drafting a player earlier than you have to.

     
    • Brandon 4:39 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      In all honesty, I probably would have made the same mistake had I not been one of the guys who “already had a quarterback.” The guy with the last pick took Aaron Rodgers as his first overall pick and I took Tom Brady in the second round, so there were a couple of rounds for Matt to forget what was going on :-)

    • Brandon 4:41 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      Let’s not side-step the fact that both Brent Celek AND Jason Witten went BEFORE Jermichael Finley in this draft!!! Had I known that was going to happen, I most definitely wouldn’t have taken Dallas Clark in the fourth round. Moral of the story…sometimes people do crazy things.

      • Squish 10:04 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

        That is wacky. Celek is going in round 6 normally but if Finley was still on the board that is ridiculous. I personally have been treating TE as my wild card pick this year. If there is a round where I feel I’m not getting sufficient value, I usually grab a TE. The earliest that happens is the 5th for me normally but in my drafts, there is always someone sticking around that nobody else likes. I’ve been getting Vernon Davis at a great price this year. I got him in the 6th last night. He may not be the guy he was last year but he’s still the team’s best target.

        • Matt 8:54 am on 9/03/2010 Permalink

          Jermichael who? Oh, that guy with one decent stretch of games and one 100-yard performance in his career?

    • blake 4:50 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      Why are yall taking TE so early? That is like buying wins in baseball, you can predict who is going to score more touchdowns week to week. I don’t understand why you would get a TE at the earliest by round 7.

      • Mal 7:07 am on 9/03/2010 Permalink Reply

        I guess pictures TE as WR#4 so a a no.1 WR is better than a no.3??? I mean look at SD, Gates is going to have some serious targets there. There is that upper tier of TE that you have to class for yourself but I guess they’re worth a WR#3 or sometimes a WR#2? It’s probably a strategy I need to take in with me to a few mocks and see what I give up to get one of the top TEs (for me it may only be Gates in that upper echelon)

      • Brandon 8:33 am on 9/03/2010 Permalink Reply

        I’ve done a few drafts this year and once you get past the first few tiers of wide receivers, you start realizing that you’re taking guys based on their upside, instead of some top tight ends that are sure things with nearly WR2 numbers. Looking back though, I admit I should have probably went with a better WR and then took a mid-tier tight end, because it definitely ended up costing me quality at the receiver position.

  • Our 2010 fantasy football teams

    Brandon 11:10 am on 9/02/2010 | 5 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , , league of champions

    With the drafts having taken place recently for the two most important fantasy football leagues that Matt and I take part in, I figured it was worth sharing who we ended up with. In case you were curious, we’re in a keeper league that uses a RB/WR flex position, as well as a “League of Champions”, which uses pretty standard scoring.

    I love my keeper league team, which could prove to be unstoppable, thanks in large part to my keepers from last season – Ray Rice, Jermichael Finley and Mike Wallace! As for my League of Champions team, I was definitely not prepared for the hardships that come along with the 11th pick of a 12 team draft. After drafting Rashard Mendenhall and Tom Brady with my top two picks, it was a LONNNGGG, painful wait before those next two picks. I’m putting a lot of faith two risky wide receivers with Housh and Edwards, but maybe Jacoby Jones and Legedu Naanee will step up and relieve those my worries (one can hope, right?!)

    Anyways, feel free to leave any questions/comments you have…

     
    • Squish 2:53 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      Looks good guys! I recently had the 10th pick of a draft in a 12 team league and I chose the alternative to what Brandon did (mainly because mendenhall was off the board). I ended up taking Moss in the first and Brees in the second. I did that mainly b/c there is no flex in that league. Ended up with Benson, McCoy, Bradshaw, and Cadillac at RB but Moss, Welker, and the other Moss at WR. I found there was more talent available in my needed areas at my pick with this strategy than when I take a RB first round with a late pick. Just a thought.

    • Mal 11:02 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      How did you possibly draft Johnson and Rice Brandon?

      • Brandon 8:35 am on 9/03/2010 Permalink Reply

        Hah, our league is clueless? Just kidding. He was one of my keepers from last season. I drafted him in the 4th round last year, so this year he was my second pick. It just happened that I got first pick as well, so I got Chris Johnson. Pretty solid RB corps, huh?

        • Mal 8:49 am on 9/03/2010 Permalink

          of course! OOO YEAHHH

  • Yahoo! Fantasy Football app for iPhone updated for 2010

    Brandon 9:32 am on 8/31/2010 | 3 Permalink Reply
    Tags: ,

    I was starting to get worried that my Yahoo! Fantasy Football app for my iPhone was going to say 2009 all season long, but thankfully they’ve finally released the 2010 update. Log into the App Store and download the update if you have an iPhone and use Yahoo! for your fantasy football leagues!

     
    • Chris 10:00 pm on 8/31/2010 Permalink Reply

      Me too! Although I noticed that they claim to offer Alerts in this update but I don’t see a way to set them up…will probably show up when the season starts.

    • Marques 12:13 am on 9/01/2010 Permalink Reply

      My main league has been using Yahoo for 10 years now. I was getting worried they weren’t going to offer a decent app upgrade as well. Now all is well.

    • Wolf 5:58 pm on 9/01/2010 Permalink Reply

      I still find the app to be lacking some of the data I like to see. I end up just logging in to the actual site from the web on the phone lol. Plus on game day I like using the Stat Tracker.

  • NFL leaders through week 3 (of the preseason)

    Brandon 2:29 pm on 8/30/2010 | 0 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , , max komar, , ryan mathews,

    Here are the leaders through the first three weeks of the preseason…which are the most important weeks. Week four could possibly jettison some 4th stringer up the ranks, but that shouldn’t impact your thoughts on him going into the fantasy football season. In terms of the numbers, you can see Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady and Peyton Manning are already in mid-season form. Arian Foster Matt Forte and Ryan Mathews are showing that they may be the real deal as well and at this point, both make solid RB2′s to start the season. As for the receivers, the only guy worth drafting is a tight end…although Max Komar is a pretty cool name guys worth drafting are a tight end and MAYBE Jabar Gaffney…but even he’s a stretch.

    preseason3_new

    (Stats via NFL.com)

     
  • Keeper draft tonight

    Matt 12:41 pm on 8/29/2010 | 3 Permalink Reply
    Tags: marc colombo,

    I’m in can’t-think-about-anything-else mode for the big event at 7pm tonight, the draft for our keeper league, which is now entering its fifth season. It takes time and effort to build up a mature keeper league with 12 dedicated participants, but it’s so worth it for the long-term strategic element keepers bring.

    Each team can keep up to three players, and you give up your pick in the round that’s two higher than the one the player was drafted in the previous year (so if the player was drafted/kept in the 8th round in 2009, you can sacrifice your 6th-round pick to keep him in 2010). If the player was undrafted, you give up your 12th-round pick to keep him. Brandon’s giving up his 2nd, 11th and 12th picks to keep Ray Rice, Mike Wallace and Jermichael Finley, while I’m giving up my 8th, 10th and 12th picks for Dwayne Bowe, Steve Breaston and Mike Sims-Walker. It’s obviously all about maximizing value by getting to draft your keepers much later in the draft than you’d be able to get them otherwise, and on that count I think we’ve both done pretty well here.

    In unrelated but kind of awesome news, a real live football player is following us on Twitter. Weird:

     
    • Squish 2:24 am on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

      I guess your blog is just that good. Eventually Ochocinco is going to start responding to your tweets ;)

      I’ve got a question for you guys. I just did an offline draft today for a 12 team money league I’m playing in this year and I was having some trouble figuring out where to pick some of the kick and punt returners. The scoring format is PPR and 4 points per passing TD. The return yards are worth 1 point for every 15 yards (which seems like a lot to me). The league starts 1QB/2RB/3WR/1Flex/1TE/1DEF/1K

      Anyway, I’m curious as to how far up the board someone like Cribbs or Harvin should be moved. Also someone like Royal, Hester, Sproles, Devin Thomas or even Bernard Scott who all have some kick return or punt return duties. For example, my custom cheatsheets had Cribbs ranked all the way at 12th Wr whereas in a normal format he likely wouldn’t be drafted. Is 12th off the board too high a price to pay for him in a return league? If not, what’s good value for him in a draft like mine?

      I already drafted but was wondering what you think. My team ended up like this:

      QB – Eli Manning/Palmer/McNabb (QB carousel baby!)
      RB – Rice/Best/Foster/Forsett/Scott (Young talent, at least two of them should be huge)
      WR – Wayne/White/Cribbs/Hester/Thomas (if Cribbs return value is the real deal I’m golden here)
      TE – Carlson/Gresham (I don’t want to talk about it…)
      DEF – BAL
      K – Didn’t draft one. Plenty of good ones still in free agency.

      Anyway, I’d love to hear your thoughts. In case you want to know, here’s the draft log to show where I ended up drafting everyone:

      1. (4) Ray Rice RB
      2. (21) Reggie Wayne WR
      3. (28) Roddy White WR
      4. (45) Jahvid Best RB
      5. (52) Arian Foster RB
      6. (69) Joshua Cribbs WR
      7. (76) Justin Forsett RB
      8. (93) Eli Manning QB
      9. (100) Carson Palmer QB
      10. (117) Devin Hester WR
      11. (124) Donovan McNabb QB
      12. (141) John Carlson TE
      13. (148) Baltimore DEF
      14. (165) Jermaine Gresham TE
      15. (172) Bernard Scott RB
      16. (189) Devin Thomas WR

      Thanks in advance!

    • Matt 1:56 pm on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

      That’s definitely a whole lot of points per return yard. There were 11 players with over 1,000 return yards last year, so under your league’s system, each of those guys would have averaged more than 5 fantasy points per game just from return yardage (and not including return TDs) – nothing to sneeze at when you consider that some of the top kick returners were fantasy-relevant even with these points taken out of the mix (Fred Jackson, Percy Harvin, Jamaal Charles).

      Given the value this league puts on return yardage, you’re throwing value down the toilet if you don’t take it into consideration. I don’t think Cribbs was a bad pick at all where you took him.

      This looks like a fun team to own… high-risk, high-ceiling.

      • Eric 9:40 am on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

        Would like your honest opinion on one of my money league teams this year. We start 1 qb, 2 rb, 4 wr (no flex), 1 te, 1 def, 1 k. The top flight QB’s were pretty much gone by the time I got my 2nd pick (I was 1st overall). 10 team league.

        QB: Flacco, Ryan
        RB: Chris Johnson, Forte, Arian Foster, and LT
        WR: Calvin Johnson, Roddy White, Housh, Floyd, Louis Murphy, Davone Bess, and I also snagged Sidney Rice and Vincent Jackson for shits and giggles.
        TE: Gates
        Def/ST: Packers and Vikings
        K: Gostkowski

        Curious as to your overall assessment.

  • The power of the all-position cheat sheet

    Matt 2:27 pm on 8/28/2010 | 7 Permalink Reply
    Tags:

    Most experienced fantasy football managers organize their cheat sheets like Brandon did here – separate rankings for each position. If you have a good understanding of the relative value of each position, it makes sense to keep things organized this way so you can quickly identify the best player at the position you’re hoping to fill in a given round.

    For newbies, however, a combined cheat sheet makes a lot more sense. A co-worker recently asked me for some advice before her first-ever fantasy draft, and I told her to keep it simple and just go by the CBS Top 200 Players list. I told her to simply cross off each player’s name when as they were called and take the highest-ranked player every round until the mid-way point, at which point she should start making sure she had enough players at each position. She promised to “stick the the sheet” as closely as possible.

    Here’s the squad she wound up with in her ten-team league with many experienced fantasy footballers (and a few other novices). I envy this team. Deeply.

    She had the first overall pick. The round each player was taken in is indicated in parentheses.

    QB

    Matt Schaub (4)
    Alex Smith (12)

    RB

    Chris Johnson (1)
    DeAngelo Williams (2)
    Cedric Benson (3)
    Cadillac Williams (5)

    WR

    Miles Austin (6)
    Steve Smith (7)
    Sidney Rice (8)*
    Donald Driver (9)

    TE

    Visanthe Shiancoe (10)
    Zach Miller (11)

    DEF

    Cowboys (13)
    Patriots (14)

    K

    Lawrence Tynes (15)

    * Draft was done before the extent of his health issues were known.

    Now obviously she’s got some concerns at WR with Rice’s situation, but aside from that – did she own this joint or what? I give her tons of credit for sticking to the sheet and drafting RB-RB-RB right off the bat, which was probably pretty nervewracking.

     
    • Shirley 4:45 pm on 8/28/2010 Permalink Reply

      Amazing team, especially all the RBs.

    • Steve 11:44 pm on 8/28/2010 Permalink Reply

      Who did she draft with that let Miles Austin fall to round 6. Insanity. But seriously…a great team.

    • Mal 8:16 am on 9/01/2010 Permalink Reply

      Guys, good to be back in the swing, got my draft order today so lately no questions just reading.

      Q1- I’m 8th- was thinking RB, QB ?
      Q2 – What is VJax’s value? Chargers or not he is a beast?
      Q3 – Which RBs are threatened by their backups the most? One reason I don’t like Deangelo being so high?
      Q4 – Saw Matthews go at #8 on an NFL.com draft, thoughts?

      Thoughts on it all? I’m going to edit Brandons sheet for my draft on the 4th so thanks for that. SPREAD IT ON!

      • Matt 8:55 am on 9/01/2010 Permalink Reply

        I don’t think QB in round 1 is necessary this year – the top four guys are so closely bunched in how I see their value that you can pretty safely wait until the 2nd round if you want one of them, and possibly the third (though that’s pretty risky with the 8th pick).

        VJax’s situation is just way up in the air. I don’t think his agent could even answer your question right now.

        I think Shonn Greene has the most to fear – LJ is used to working with an offensive line of that caliber and he’s going to excel every time he touches the ball, making it tough for the coaches to bench him. Greene’s going to have to improve in protection and hold onto the ball if he wants to secure the lion’s share of the workload.

        Mathews is a nice RB but there are better options at #8 overall in any format.

        • Mal 12:43 am on 9/02/2010 Permalink

          Thanks a lot Matt-

          I think at 8 I’m going to go, best RB I can get then get a decent QB with that close next pick. I agree, I put Rogers, brees, manning and brady (nearly rivers too) in the same grade of QB.

          With your advice I will steer clear of Greene and Williams. I also notice Jamaal Charles gets left hanging a bit in mock drafts?

          So @ 8th, I get the 2 picks within 6 turns. So RB,QB I think is pretty solid for the first two, 2nd 2 i’ve been going WR, WR as the RB talent drops very quickly. I am usually left with that section of thomas, stewart, mccoy, wells, foster, best etc to pick my 2nd RB from, who is the best value RB for that that you find down the list a bit?

        • Matt 11:12 am on 9/02/2010 Permalink

          Careful not to set your positional strategy in stone – I’d caution you against going into the draft with your mind made up as to the positions you’re drafting in the first few rounds. What if the first seven picks are all RB? Do you really want to pass on Andre Johnson – who in my opinion is in a league of his own at WR – and draft the 8th-best RB instead?

  • Matt 12:05 pm on 8/28/2010 | 0 Permalink Reply
    Tags: evil incarnate, shanahan

    The Wall Street Journal has already deemed 2010 fantasy football’s Year of the Head Slap thanks to the myriad suspensions, holdouts, running back committees and generally unsettled starting lineups heading into the season. Few things are ever as clear-cut in the NFL as fantasy owners would like them to be, but this season does seem to be more fraught with uncertainty than most. I blame the return of Shanahan.

     
  • Free 2010 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

    Brandon 10:11 am on 8/26/2010 | 20 Permalink Reply
    Tags:

    While searching for a free cheat sheet online to use as the basis for my own rankings, I realized that most websites don’t put them in a format that is great for using as a draft day list. So, while I was putting together a really quick cheat sheet for reference during my upcoming drafts, I wanted to share it with our readers to use at least as the basis for their own cheat sheets (it’s a Google Docs spreadsheet):

    FFGeekBlog.com’s 2010 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

    Keep in mind that I threw this together in about half an hour and didn’t take painstaking effort to make sure all of the wide receivers in the 40-60 group (for example) are exactly in the order I’d draft them. Most of the players atop the lists are close to how I would pick them in a standard league though.

    If you see anything crazy on the lists that doesn’t make sense or have left out important players, please let me know so I can update it ASAP!

     
    • Mark 1:25 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

      It’s interesting to look at the RB rankings. We had discussed earlier about how there isn’t a real significant difference between Barber (17) and Jacobs (34) and yet they are 17 spots apart. At least McCoy, Charles and Moreno would rank higher than Barber in my book, because of their upside, but overall I think it looks pretty good. I think it shows that there is a big dropoff in runningbacks, but I’m not sure where that line is (Ryan Grant? Pierre Thomas?) Thanks!

      • Mark 1:27 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

        I also forgot to mention you must not be too high on Jerome Harrison

      • Brandon 8:59 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        Mark, I took this list from another site yesterday and made some quick, obvious modifications to make it “my own.” However, I hadn’t given it a thorough look unfortunately. Not sure what the other site was thinking on some of the rankings! Anyways, I’ve gone through again this morning and made some more updates to make it more FFGeekBlog-ish. Give it another look over if you have some time and let me know what you think!

    • tommy 1:48 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

      Thanks for this sheet guys. Just used it a bit on my draft that I just finished.

      This is the 2nd league I was talking about…2 QBs start as well, but it’s a 10 team league. normal ppr (.5 per reception).

      QB Peyton Manning
      QB Alex Smith
      WR Marques Colston
      WR Wes Welker
      WR Johnny Knox
      RB Steven Jackson
      RB Beanie Wells
      TE Vernon Davis
      W/R CJ Spiller

      BENCH
      Housh
      Roethlishberger
      Portis
      Zach Miller
      Hardesty
      Devin Hester
      Burleson

      K Lawrence Tynes
      D/ST Arizona
      D Charles Woodson

      What do you think? I think this was a pretty damn good draft.

      • e-roc 8:19 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        If S-Jax and Beanie can stay healthy for the entire season, you’ll end up with one of the top teams in your league.

      • Brandon 9:20 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        Solid team there, I’m just hoping for you that your running backs can score enough touchdowns. Clinton Portis could end up being a solid pickup if he can establish himself as the main man in Washington.

      • Steve 11:50 pm on 8/28/2010 Permalink Reply

        Slight weaknesses at running back, but I love the depth. Rothlisberger is a nice pickup. Gonna be a solid starting QB once he comes back.

        • Paul 1:44 pm on 9/01/2010 Permalink

          We have a 14 team league and we start QB, WR,WR,WR/RB,RB,RB,WR/TE,DST,K
          I like my receiver group but don’t feel good yet about the RBs.
          Comments/suggestions appreciated.

          Eli Manning
          Ben Roethlisberger

          Beanie Wells
          Jerome Harrison
          LT
          Kareem Huggins

          Andre Johnson
          Calvin Johnson
          Steve Smith (NYG)
          Mike Wallace
          Early Doucet
          Golden Tate

          Jason Witten

          Pitt DST

          Jay Feely

        • Brandon 8:47 am on 9/02/2010 Permalink

          Unfortunately Paul, you’re right to be worried about that running back squad. I could be proven completely wrong when the season starts, but Beanie Wells has scared me this preseason. If he or Harrison gets hurt or demoted early, you could really be in some trouble. I do like your top four receivers though. Good luck!

    • Squish 4:26 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

      For the most part you guys seem to have a really solid cheatsheet. there were a few guys I furled my brow at but other than that it’s okay.

      May I ask exactly why you seem to be so high on Meachem. I mean sure he did well at some points last season but the only reason he was viable was because he was a red zone hawk. He was all but useless on the rest of the field. Hell, he only netted 6 receptions for 37 yards total in his last 4 games. He barely got starting time even with Lance Moore out and when Moore came back, Meachem didn’t start for 4 straight games! How is it that you (or any other site for that matter) can have such faith in an unproven WR3? I’d put much more stock in someone like Nicks who is his teams top playmaking WR. And to have Meachem ahead of Ward?! That’s sacrilege! Are you guys assuming that somehow Meachem is going to past Colston as New Orleans primary WR? Also, I don’t see how Berrian can be ahead of Harvin when Harvin is ahead of him on the team’s depth chart and is clearly one of Favre’s favorite targets. I know he has a migraine problem but he had the same problem last year and nobody knocked him for it!

      Also, any particular reason you like Marion Barber this year? It seems odd to put a clear committee back on a passing team with injury issues ahead of solid solo RB1 starters like Forte, McCoy, and even Best. You have him at 16th best RB. Most other sites have him at about 25th-27th best RB. I have him at 24th best Rb and I thought I was being generous. Do you guys know something the rest of us don’t?

      Anyway other than a few anomalies it seems solid. Keep up the good work!

      • Brandon 9:14 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        Hey Squish, you’ll have to excuse some of the rankings on the list. I took this list from another website to use as a starting point and didn’t get enough time to fully update it with our own modifications before releasing it into the wild. I’ve made some major updates this morning, so take a look and see what you think now.

        • Squish 9:38 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink

          Now that’s more like it! I thought you guys had gone insane on me! I’m not very high on DeSean Jackson this year but I can’t fault anyone for having him ranked that high. Looks good! I’m glad you’ll be updating it. Too many sites these days have a month old cheat sheet up come draft time. Anyway props for the cheat sheet and continuing the great site. I’m looking forward to another year of geekdom!

        • Brandon 11:42 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink

          Might not be as high on DeSean Jackson after the back injury today! But we’ll see later and possibly adjust the list. Feel free to offer any suggestions though so we can make this the best cheat sheet around.

    • Steve 12:42 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

      Larry Fitz or Greg Jennings? Who is best fantasy option. And can jamaal Charles keep up the form he showed at the end of last season to be a number 1 fantasy back?

      • Brandon 1:18 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        At this point I like Greg Jennings more than Fitz, based solely on the guy who is throwing each of them the ball. As for Jamaal Charles, I’m scared a bit by Thomas Jones. I wouldn’t want Charles as my RB1, but as an RB2 he could be alright. You should be able to draft him as your RB2 as well, as I think a lot of other people share my concerns.

    • Steve 1:49 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

      I could get MJD or gore if I pick at the start of the first round in my PPR keeper league. My QB is brees, and then if I keep Jennings over Fitz and do u think DeAngelo Williams over Charles? Or will jonathan Stewart take more carries than he did last year? My deadline is today and I’m finding it hard to decide.

      • Brandon 3:00 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        I like MJD, Jennings and DeAngelo Williams out of those guys. I expect a lot of running for the Panthers this year, so both Williams AND Stewart should see plenty of carries. Good luck!

    • Shane 4:23 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

      Brandon – Thanks for posting this, definitely the best formatted list out there. Are you continually updating this to account for injuries, roster moves, arrests, etc.? I draft the day before the first game, so I just wanted to check. Thanks again!

      • Brandon 4:46 pm on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        I’ll keep updating this list all the way until the regular season for sure, so keep checking back. If you see some news that you feel requires an update to the list, feel free to leave a comment so I can make the update. I like to think of it as a community effort, so any recommendations will be at least taken into account.

  • Ask the Geeks - Preseason Edition

    Brandon 8:47 am on 8/26/2010 | 1 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , , ,

    As the season nears and league drafts are taking place daily throughout the next couple weeks, we figure it’s time to get the Ask the Geeks posts started. We begin with a great question about a couple of reality show stars in Cincinnati:

    JV Prep Squad asks:

    Word is TO might get more nods this year than Ochocinco. I’m tempted to place TO higher in my list of wide receivers than Ochocinco. Is this a good move?

    Brandon says: While the difference in their average draft positions is starting to decrease (check out where they went in the Yahoo! Friends and Family league draft) due to T.O.’s performance in the preseason so far, you still need to target Ochocinco first. He’s been with the offense for years and has chemistry with quarterback Carson Palmer. I’m guessing that T.O. is seeing a lot of action in the preseason because Palmer is trying to develop this same chemistry with him. Both players will see plenty of targets when the season starts and Owens could provide the distraction to defenses that T.J. Houshmandzadeh did a few years ago…when the man formerly known as Chad Johnson put together some great seasons.

     
    • JV Prep Squad 2:33 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

      So of course that choice didn’t come up during my draft! I had sixth slot in a 10-person PPR league with flex offense. My team (in order of selection) is:

      1-Maurice Jones-Drew (RB) (yes, I got him with the sixth pick
      2-Tom Brady (QB)
      3-Ryan Matthews (RB)
      4-Steve Smith (WR – Carolina)
      5-Matt Forte (RB)
      6-Mike Sims-Walker (WR)
      7-Vernon Davis (TE)
      8-Minnesota (DEF)
      9-Mike Wallace (WR)
      10-Matt Ryan (QB)
      11-Brent Celek (TE)
      12-Mohamed Massaquoi (WR)
      13-Stephen Gostowski (PK)
      14-Tim Hightower (RB)
      15-Kevin Smith (RB)
      16-Dustin Keller (TE)

      Thoughts welcome . . . !

  • Brandon 9:22 am on 8/25/2010 | 14 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , ,

    Houston Texans TE Owen Daniels is saying that his scan and MRI indicate that his repaired knee is 100% and ready to go.It would be great to get at least a glimpse of him this preseason, but even without one, I think he makes a great draft pick based on the fact that he’s currently going as around the 8th to 10th tight end and could end up with top 4 numbers.

     
    • tommy 1:46 pm on 8/25/2010 Permalink Reply

      Question for you guys: my two leagues draft today and tomorrow. Can’t think of a draft strategy for either of them.

      League 1 (drafts tonight): 2 QBs start everything else normal, 1 POINT PER RECEPTION!!!!!!!!. Who do you take in early rounds? Driving me crazy. 8 team league

      League 2: 2 QBs start as well, but it’s a 10 team league. normal ppr (.5 per reception). Who do you take in early rounds?

      position wise

      • Brandon 2:59 pm on 8/25/2010 Permalink Reply

        Both leagues seem similar enough to use the same kind of strategy, especially with both being 2 QB. It’s hard to know the exact strategy without knowing your draft pick, but it’s important to get a really good one for your QB1 slot, as that position will provide a lot of your points. Receiving running backs are ideal as well and most of the top guys should get that job done (CJ, MJD, Rice, Gore, AP.) Matt Forte could be a later round sleeper due to the amount of balls he’ll catch out of the backfield. Then, receivers who catch the ball a lot need to be targeted, such as Andre Johnson, Wes Welker, Brandon Marshall, Reggie Wayne, Anquan Boldin, Roddy White, and Larry Fitzgerald (not in that order necessarily.) I’d aim to lock down a solid QB1, RB1 and WR1 with your top three picks, but don’t be pigeon-holed into it if one of the top guys aren’t there anymore.

        Not sure if this is helpful at all, but I’d be interested to see how the drafts go. Let us know how it worked out!

        • tommy 10:19 pm on 8/25/2010 Permalink

          Just finished my first league’s draft… Check out this beauty of a draft.

          QB Brees
          QB Romo
          WR Calvin Johnson
          WR Brandon Marshall
          WR Marques Colston
          RB Cedric Benson
          RB Jahvid Best
          RB Ahmad Bradshaw
          TE Jason Witten
          TE Zach Miller (we start 2 TEs too)
          W/R TJ Housh

          BENCH
          Michael Bush
          Cadillac Williams
          Dez Bryant
          Matt Cassell
          Steve Breaston
          Braylon Edwards
          Darren Sproles

          In a league where most QBs were gone by the 2nd round, and where there is 1 point per reception, I think this team is pretty damn good.

          What do you think?

        • Brandon 6:34 am on 8/26/2010 Permalink

          Wow, nice team! I especially like the Brees/Romo combination at the top and those wide receivers. At running back you should be solid too. I think Michael Bush will be decent for the Raiders as long as they can get something going on offense, so he’ll be a good backup for you. Let’s hope tomorrows draft goes as well!

        • tommy 11:36 am on 8/26/2010 Permalink

          Thanks!

        • Aaron Davis 2:58 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink

          I don’t know but some word of advice…

          Because its a ppr league that means if you have any chance of getting ray rice get him.
          pass up peterson and mjd.

        • Brandon 3:44 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink

          Just because it’s a PPR league (only 0.5 ppr) doesn’t mean you bail on Peterson and MJD. Both of those guys had 40+ receptions (53 for MJD) and both of their rushing touchdown numbers were much higher than Rice’s. You can’t really go wrong with any of them, but to date, Rice still has the best backup to vulture scores from him with McGahee still on the team. If he’s traded, Rice’s stock goes up even higher of course.

      • Brandon 3:01 pm on 8/25/2010 Permalink Reply

        Davone Bess is another guy you might target later in the draft as a WR3 due to the large number of passes he’ll catch, especially now that Greg Camarillo is out of town.

        • tommy 3:18 pm on 8/25/2010 Permalink

          Thanks! Also, the first league has 3 RBs starting and 2nd league has 1 point per 30 return yards (deep league, eh? lol)

    • Chris 9:03 pm on 8/25/2010 Permalink Reply

      Hey guys,

      I’m in 10 teamer and had the 4th pick. I got Rice in the 1st, SJax in the 2nd. In the 5th I was able to grab Shonn Greene (yes the 5th). Couple hrs later I found out that I am in a league that scores .5/recep. I have to think that even in a league that rewards receptions, Greene shouldn’t have lasted to the 5th. Nonetheless, I ended up with Kolb at QB (big ? mark in my opinion but think he will excel) and Greg Jennings, Sims-Walker, Harvin, Jacoby Jones, Burleson, Santonio Holmes at WR and feel real weak with them. My question is .. some guy is really on me for Rice. He is offering Wayne and Ronnie Brown for him and I almost want to bite. I feel real confident with starting SJax every week then platooning Greene and Brown depending on matchup. I would hate to give up a top 4 player like Rice but I really want to have a top tier WR .. What you guys think about this trade? And what are your opinions on Kolb this season? Cheers!

      • Steven 3:15 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

        Wow you had a really good draft. My advice? Do not give up Rice. In PPR leagues Rice will be big. He catches a lot of passes and is a very competent RB. He should be untouchable. Jennings is already an elite wide-out, and Sims-Walker isn’t bad. Harvin will be good with Sidney Rice injured. And Holmes will be great once he returns from his suspension. I personally think you should go for a different QB. Kolb is a risky starter.

    • Steven 3:25 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

      I have six team league, no ppr. Here’s how my draft went

      QB Rivers
      RB Adrian Peterson
      RB Frank Gore
      RB Knowshon Moreno
      WR Reggie Wayne
      WR Greg Jennings
      WR Anquan Boldin
      WR Santonio Holmes
      TE Antonio Gates
      TE Jermichael Finley
      D 49ers
      D Steelers
      K Robbie Gould

      Your thoughts. Am I weak in any category?

      • Steven 3:26 pm on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

        and also I have QB Eli Manning

      • Brandon 10:46 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        Holy smokes, that team seems awesome. Gates AND Finley at tight end? Not diggin’ Santonio Holmes or Knowshon Moreno that much, but the rest is great.

  • Sidney Rice to miss half the season

    Brandon 12:13 pm on 8/24/2010 | 11 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , ,

    In case you haven’t yet heard, Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Sidney Rice has had hip surgery and will miss upwards of half the 2010-11 NFL season. Obviously that means you probably don’t want to draft him for your fantasy football team…at least not until the last couple rounds, if you must. With Percy Harvin suffering with migraines, this means that WR Bernard Berrian and TE Visanthe Shiancoe (and Javon Walker?) will most likely be Brett Favre’s top targets heading into the season. Draft accordingly!

     
    • Matt 5:36 pm on 8/24/2010 Permalink Reply

      I’m thinking Rice is still worth a late round pick. The guy was a force during the second half of last season, including the playoffs. I think if you grab him as your 5th or 6th reciever he can give you a nice boost at the end of the year when he returns. Your thoughts?

      • Matt 9:40 pm on 8/24/2010 Permalink Reply

        It really depends on how your WR corps is shaping up in the draft by the time you get to the late rounds. I’d only target Rice if I my top 4 or 5 WRs were all relatively safe bets. In that case, he might be worth taking a flier on in case he’s able to come back and provide a late-season source of points.

    • e-roc 9:17 am on 8/25/2010 Permalink Reply

      IMO – Shiancoe’s value just skyrocketed…. and I’d take Rice if he was still there in the 9th or 10th round BEFORE a defense or kicker. :)

    • Rev. Benjamin 11:30 am on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

      I’m with you guys on the Berrian and Shiancoe boat. I got Shiancoe very, very late. I’m actually pretty happy with my draft… what you guys think?
      qb – brees
      rb – shonn greene (and LT – who knows), pierre thomas, arian foster, jeromme harrison, anthony dixon (took your guys’ advice there too)
      wr – wes welker, hakeen nicks, jacoby jones (i like him better than the ever-vanilla kevin walter), robert meachem, devery henderson
      te – shiancoe
      d – bears (hey, ulacker’s back right? meh)

      • Brandon 9:34 am on 8/27/2010 Permalink Reply

        Pretty solid squad you got there. Hopefully Hakeem Nicks and Jacoby Jones have big years and solidify your wide receiver position…then you’re on your way to the playoffs!

    • BASH33N 10:25 pm on 8/29/2010 Permalink Reply

      I need help guys. My recievers are so so now that Rice is out and Vincent Jackson won’t play for less than 30 million garaunteed. Can anyone give me some advice on whether or not I should drop Rice or Jackson and pick up another receiver or two? The rest of my team I feel is soid.
      Peyton Manning- QB
      Adrian Peterson and Arian Foster- RB
      Vernon Davis – TE
      Minnesota D
      The rest of the receivers that I’m left with now are Brandon Marshall, great….Dwayne Bowe and Mike Wallace

    • BASH33N 9:27 am on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

      Maclin, Berrian, Gaffney and all of the DEN receivers, Knox and all of the CHI receivers, Jacoby Jones, Kenny Britt, etc. Right now its looking like Maclin and Knox are the best available but for some reason I feel that Berrian could provide some points now that he moved up on the depth chart.

      • Brandon 9:31 am on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

        I like Berrian, Maclin, Knox and Jacoby Jones. The first move I would make would be to drop Rice for Knox. It seems that Knox will be the top receiver in Chicago and who knows how Rice will be when he returns from injury. Wait another couple days on V-Jax, but then give him the boot if nothing is moving on his contract situation and grab Maclin (I think I like him over Berrian right now.)

    • BASH33N 9:43 am on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

      Ok thanks a lot man. I’m going to look into it today. I know there has been a lot of hype about Knox stepping into a lead receiver role this year…but his projected states still don’t show it. I think Maclin will be ok this year too but I also realize that Jackson will be getting most of the deep ball looks for them. I appreciate the advice

  • Prize Leagues: WTF, ESPN?

    Matt 5:16 pm on 8/23/2010 | 5 Permalink Reply
    Tags: ,

    I just noticed this prize leagues thing on ESPN’s fantasy football website. Apparently, you can pay $29.95 per team to join or start a league that is functionally exactly the same as a free league, but at the end of the season you might just maybe win some fabulous prizes, such as… Best Buy gift cards? (Three total will be awarded, for a grand total value of $5,000.) The real kicker is this part:

    100 Winners [sic] Circle points will be awarded to each Prize-Eligible League Champion for every league won… The approximate retail value (“ARV”) for each League prize is $15.00.

    So if you win the league that you paid $29.95 in real money to enter, you’ll win $15 in Winner’s Circle Points, which as I pointed out last season are basically equivalent to skee-ball tickets at the penny arcade.

    Tellingly, I had to create a league just to find out how much it costs – they don’t reveal the price until you get a few steps along in the process (reminds me of an online store that waits until the final checkout page to tell that you the shipping on your DVD will be $9.99).

    Who the hell does this?! Actually, come to think of it… if I pay my $29.95, am I more or less guaranteed to win the grand prize because I’ll be the only person on the planet who signs up?

     
    • Mike Mahoney 11:59 am on 8/24/2010 Permalink Reply

      haha mad funny i just noticed this today and googled the prize eligible and found this blog. Im confused as to how you can win the grand prize

    • Outraged 1:44 pm on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

      I agree completely ! What a rip off. I cant believe how much it cost for a off chance you might beat everybody else and win some gift certificate.

    • Matt 2:01 pm on 8/30/2010 Permalink Reply

      I do enjoy that this post is now one of the top things that comes up when you google espn prize leagues. Someone in Bristol is displeased with me right about now.

    • Nunya 4:53 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      so since espn is a rip off and a joke(cant believe I have played on it for the last five years) at least you got a generic league champion t shirt that was culp ok. So where is a comparable pricewise site to play?

    • Billy 6:29 pm on 9/02/2010 Permalink Reply

      you get professional trade review out of it though
      haha

  • NFL leaders through week 2 (of the preseason)

    Brandon 9:44 am on 8/23/2010 | 3 Permalink Reply
    Tags: ,

    Here are your offensive leaders through two weeks of the preseason. We’re now seeing some of the fantasy football cream rise to the top now, with draft-worthy players Carson Palmer, Matt Forte, Ryan Matthews, Greg Jennings and DeSean Jackson all making the lists. Keep an eye on San Francisco running back Anthony Dixon though, who at a minimum will probably be the mandatory handcuff to Frank Gore.

    preseason_leaders_2

    (Stats via NFL.com)

     
    • Archie 10:56 am on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

      Hello guys, u helped me to great success last year. I an in a keeper league and am approaching the deadline to let some players go. Which two should I keep from Fitzgerald, Greg Jennings, Ochocinco, Jamaal Charles and Deangelo Williams. Thanks

      • Brandon 11:47 am on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

        You’ll want to keep DeAngelo Williams and either Fitz or Jennings…but which one is tricky. Fitzgerald is a beast, but he’s a bit nicked up right now and his quarterback is Matt Leinart (scary!) Jennings has a great quarterback, but didn’t put up the best touchdown numbers last year. I’m going to lean towards Jennings, who needs to rebound to his 2008-09 form.

    • Archie 12:19 pm on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

      Thanks Brandon, we also have defensive players. Last year I got big points from Elvis Dumervil but I have lost him this year to injury. Can u recommend any sleepers on defense that will have a big year in terms of sacks?

  • Cedric Benson vs Matt Forte: What have you done for me lately?

    Brandon 4:10 pm on 8/20/2010 | 7 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , , ,

    Remember when Cedric Benson was the Matt Forte of the Chicago Bears? He was a running back that everyone had given up on and we all chuckled when he was signed by the Bengals. He then proceeded to put up very average numbers over the 2008-09 season for the Bengals, finishing with 747 yards (3.5 ypc) and two scores. That same year, the new kid on the block in Chicago, replacing Benson, rushed for 1,238 yards (3.9 ypc) and eight touchdowns to become the next up-and-coming fantasy football star. That kid was Matt Forte out of Tulane University.

    Fast forward to the 2009-10 season, where the roles were reversed. Forte hit a sophomore slump, finishing with under 1,000 yards and only four touchdowns, while Benson barreled his way to 1,251 yards (with a solid 4.2 ypc) and six scores.

    Now, as we all prepare for the 2010-11 fantasy football season, it seems that no one cares about either of these players beyond one season ago. Just a few notes on the two players…

    • Cedric Benson has never played a full 16 game season.
    • Matt Forte has never NOT played a full 16 game season.

    • Cedric Benson has 37 receptions, 296 receiving yards and 0 receiving touchdowns over the past two years.
    • Matt Forte has 120 receptions, 948 receiving yards, and 4 receiving touchdowns over the past two years.

    • Cedric Benson has had four “average” seasons as an NFL running back.
    • Matt Forte has had one “average” season as an NFL running back (sophomore slump?)

    I just find it odd at how these two players are looked at going into this season. Someone feel free to change my mind if you want/can. Until then, I’m hoping to snag Forte as a sneaky, mid-round pick in my league drafts.

    Update: Just found a blog that shares my pseudo-optimism in Matt Forte this year. In his post Don’t Nap on these 10 SLEEPERS!, John Charles of Fantasy-Football-First.com writes about Matt Forte:

    Analysis: This time last year some were making the debate that Forte was worthy of the # 1 pick. He had a disappointing season in which he finished #18 for fantasy running backs. He averaged 10.2 points a game. Would you take 10 points a week out of your RB2 position? I would. I think he improves on that a bit this year and could average 12 points a game which should put him in the top 15.

    Strategy: Fantasy football owners have a short term memory so the thought of Forte being a first round bust last year will be fresh in their minds. Mock Drafts have him going in the 4th-6th round and being the 21st running back selected. I am targeting a 4th round steal and it might be hard to pass him up in the 3rd round.

     
    • Tommy 12:52 pm on 8/22/2010 Permalink Reply

      What do you guys think of this mock draft?

      Your Team
      1. Rashard Mendenhall (Pit – RB)
      2. Ryan Mathews (SD – RB)
      3. Tony Romo (Dal – QB)
      4. Chad Ochocinco (Cin – WR)
      5. Hakeem Nicks (NYG – WR)
      6. Vernon Davis (SF – TE)
      7. Jeremy Maclin (Phi – WR)
      8. Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG – RB)
      9. Baltimore (Bal – DEF)
      10. Nate Kaeding (SD – K)
      11. Devin Aromashodu (Chi – WR)
      12. Donovan McNabb (Was – QB)
      13. Braylon Edwards (NYJ – WR)
      14. Clinton Portis (Was – RB)
      15. Donald Brown (Ind – RB)

      • Tommy 12:52 pm on 8/22/2010 Permalink Reply

        I had the 9th pick out of 10 btw.

      • Brandon 9:53 am on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

        Hmmm, you’re pretty stacked at running back and Romo and V.Davis should hold down the QB and TE positions, but at wide receiver it’s a little scary. Ochocinco is risky as your WR1 and Nicks/Maclin are both a little risky to round out the crew. Braylon Edwards as a backup might make up for it though. I wouldn’t be too disappointed though if this was my team in an actual league. There will always be free agents after the first week or two to pick up to solidify the WR position.

    • Archie 10:59 am on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

      Hello guys, u helped me to great success last year. I am in a keeper league and am approaching the deadline to let some players go. Which two should I keep from Fitzgerald, Greg Jennings, Ochocinco, Jamaal Charles and Deangelo Williams. Thanks

    • Archie 11:03 am on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

      Also there is an 8 person draft with reverse order in the second round. Where is the best place to pick in the first round?

      • Brandon 11:49 am on 8/23/2010 Permalink Reply

        In an 8 person draft, I’d say the best spot is at the front of the draft, probably 1-4. This would ensure you get one of the big names as your RB1, along with a solid 2nd and 3rd pick, which isn’t all that far away. In a 12 team league, the first pick is dangerous because of all the talent gets drafted between your 1st and 2nd pick.

  • What has Danny Amendola been doing?!

    Brandon 2:12 pm on 8/20/2010 | 0 Permalink Reply
    Tags: danny amendola

    As part of my research for the blog, one of the RSS feeds that I subscribe to is Rotoworld.com‘s Fantasy Football Headlines, a resource many of our readers should probably also use. Anyways, today I learned something very interesting about kick-returner extrordinaire Danny Amendola’s off-the-field (or on-the-field?) activities…

    Let be known that this type of behavior has in no way affected the fact that he’s on my Yahoo! public league team, a league that features a scoring system that makes kick returners comparable to the top running backs :-)

     
  • Another record season for the Patriots?

    Brandon 10:47 am on 8/20/2010 | 0 Permalink Reply
    Tags: aaron hernandez, brandon tate, , , , , ,

    I don’t want to jinx them or anything, but things have already looked great for the Patriots this preseason. With a healthy Wes Welker in the fold, along with a contract-inspired Randy Moss, Julian Edelman, rookie Aaron Hernandez and healthy Brandon Tate, this passing game should be absolutely dominant. Even the rookie tight end touted for his blocking, Rob Gronkowski, racked up 38 yards and a score last night! Will Tom Brady rack up 50 touchdowns like he did in 2007? Maybe not. But he could get 49 :-)

    Obviously you’re drafting Brady, Moss, and Welker, but now I bet you see Edelman and Hernandez taken in the later rounds of most drafts…especially keeper leagues. In the leagues out there that reward for kick return yardage, Brandon Tate makes for an interesting pick as well.

    Even the running game was going on all cylinders, with the old-man-tandem of Fred Taylor and Sammy Morris combining for over 100 yards and two scores on just 17 carries! Where you draft any of their running backs is another story though. This is the ultimate running-back-by-committee situation and one you should probably stay away from unless absolutely necessary.

     
  • Brandon 8:29 am on 8/19/2010 | 4 Permalink Reply
    Tags: ipad,

    Anyone courageous enough to try their fantasy football league draft on an iPad? Seems pretty risky to me. Maybe at least have your laptop next to you just in case! [FantasyFootballCalculator - Mock Draft on your iPad]

     
    • Nathan 12:02 pm on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

      Nope, works great and I’ll be using it next week!

      • Brandon 2:21 pm on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

        Nice, let us know how it goes! I’m mostly worried about the ability to click and drag a player to a queue or draft box if necessary.

    • Matt 8:59 am on 8/20/2010 Permalink Reply

      Feel free to buy me an iPad so I can check it out.

      • Tommy 12:40 pm on 8/22/2010 Permalink Reply

        For research purposes. lol

  • Brandon 3:32 pm on 8/18/2010 | 3 Permalink Reply
    Tags:

    Jets TE Dustin Keller could be a sneaky later-round draft pick if you miss Clark, Gates, Davis, etc http://espn.go.com/blog/afceast/post/_/id/16497/scouts-inc-te-keller-jets-go-to-guy

     
    • Squish 6:14 pm on 8/18/2010 Permalink Reply

      I’ve actually been grabbing Gonzalez in a lot of leagues. For being the most consistently good TE in the game, I’m surprised that he is still out there in the 6th round of most drafts. 7th TE off the board? I’ll risk him.

      • Brandon 10:57 am on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

        Gonzo should do the job nicely, especially if you were going to have to reach for one of the top guys. Best to combine a solid TE with a good player at another position.

    • Lab 3:47 am on 8/26/2010 Permalink Reply

      I agree on Keller. In 2009, he ranked 12th in targets, but only 20th in points. Looking at his stats from 2009, he seems to have an abnormally low number of receptions per target (http://fwd4.me/avO), and his TD total for 2009 also was abnormally low for the number of targets. If he receives the same number of targets in 2010 (or maybe even increases slightly), and his other numbers increase toward the mean, then his value will be much higher.

  • Brandon 11:49 am on 8/18/2010 | 9 Permalink Reply
    Tags:

    I might end up regretting it, but right now I’m on the Matt Forte bounce-back bandwagon http://bit.ly/aEZGK5

     
    • Squish 6:12 pm on 8/18/2010 Permalink Reply

      I’m also on that bandwagon but I’m not drafting him because he’s in a Martz offense. Besides Chester Taylor is the better back anyway.

      • Brandon 8:25 am on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

        Maybe, but Taylor is 32 and Forte is only 25…gotta give the young gun the benefit of the doubt (sophomore slump hopefully.) Remember, it was only two seasons ago where he rushed for over 1200 yards and had 8 touchdowns!

      • Matt 8:58 am on 8/20/2010 Permalink Reply

        I’m not capable of thinking rationally about Forte this year. I was so pumped going into last season in our keeper league with Forte and Brady as my first two picks. I didn’t know. I DIDN’T KNOW.

    • e-roc 8:20 am on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

      I would roll the dice with him him in a later round behind a one-two combo of 1)MJD/Rice and 2)R.Mathews/R.Mendenhall….

      • Brandon 8:26 am on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

        You think Mathews will slip to the end of the second round?

    • e-roc 8:50 am on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

      …In our league… (I’m also drafting 3rd, which means I’ll get the 18th pick coming back…) In the first two rounds of last year’s draft there were only eight RBs taken. With all 10 players returning, I’m guessing the draft will unfold in a similar manner this year. I wouldn’t be disappointed to get DAW at that spot either.

      • Brandon 2:23 pm on 8/19/2010 Permalink Reply

        Actually, that seems to be about right. According to fftoolbox.com there are 9 RB’s in the top 20 picks and Ryan Mathews is averaging around pick 20. Hopefully it works out for you!

        • e-roc 2:59 pm on 8/19/2010 Permalink

          Thanks Brandon.

          On a side note, would you rather pick MJD or Ray Ray with the 3rd pick? Keeping in mind… 0.5 PPR for RBs..

        • Brandon 3:03 pm on 8/19/2010 Permalink

          That’s the million dollar question for those picking #3! I guess my answer is MJD, unless Willis McGahee is traded and Ray Rice becomes the unquestioned feature back in Baltimore. Then I might go with Rice.

  • NFL leaders through week 1 (of the preseason)

    Brandon 10:43 am on 8/18/2010 | 0 Permalink Reply
    Tags: , , julian edelman,

    Here are your offensive yardage leaders through the first week of the preseason. Keep in mind that the Bengals and Cowboys have already played two games. Also note, you should not draft any of these players, except Aaron Rodgers, Julian Edelman and possibly Bernard Scott.

    2010_preseason leaders

    (Stats via NFL.com)

     
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