Fantasy football would be a lot easier if things were a little more predictable in the NFL. We'd be tearing a little less of the hair out of our heads on a weekly basis if it weren't for the marquee stars who quietly and inexplicably fade into oblivion, the no-name backups who suddenly outperform the starter and eat into his playing time, and the rookies who come out of nowhere and bestow championships upon the fantasy player savvy/lucky enough to nab them off the waiver wire. As a result, we have a natural, perhaps wishful tendency to think and act as if there are some inexorable truths in football, especially during the draft. But, as the saying goes, when you assume...

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Recently we held the second annual draft for the Phi Tau Keeper League, using the rules explained here. As this was the second year of the league, this was the first official "keeper" draft, where managers could decide which players they wanted to keep from the previous years roster, which definitely made the draft a bit interesting. The most obvious change this was going to make was looking at the keepers and realizing that top round picks such as Joseph Addai, Cedric Benson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Laurence Maroney, Deuce McAllister, Carson Palmer, Travis Henry, Marques Colston and Brandon Jacobs were already taken. Just the fact that so many running backs were being held as keepers was troubling to teams who didn't already have a starting RB being kept (luckily I wasn't one of them). Anyways, without wasting any more time, let's get to the draft analysis...

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A lot is said about a so called "sophomore slump" for NFL players, especially those in the skill positions. While this may be true for players like Carnell "Cadillac" Williams, Michael Clayton (coincidence they're both on Tampa Bay, a crappy team?) and Anquan Boldin, there are still some players who made a huge impact in the second season, even after having a good rookie campaign. Examples of this are Antonio Gates, LaDainian Tomlinson (coincidence they're both on San Diego, a good team?) and Clinton Portis. After a going through a few drafts, I felt the urge to point out a few second year players that you shouldn't worry about the "sophomore slump" affecting, while pointing out a few that probably will...

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Looks like Driver will have to put it in park for a while. This probably qualifies as the most fantasy-significant injury of the preseason to this point. I thought Driver was overvalued anyway (he's 32 and it's hard to say what Brett Favre will bring to the table this season), so hopefully this will make fantasy owners come to their senses. Even if he can overcome this and start week 1, he's still 32, and he's still on the Packers.